The development and monitoring of vaccines are governed by a rigorous, multi-stage scientific and regulatory process designed to ensure both effectiveness and safety. This system begins in the lab and continues long after a vaccine is made available to the public. Public health decisions must balance the benefits of preventing widespread disease against the identification and management of rare risks. This ongoing vigilance ensures that the public health gain from vaccination consistently outweighs any associated risks.
The Phases of Vaccine Development
Before any vaccine receives initial regulatory approval, it must successfully navigate a highly structured sequence of testing. This journey begins with the exploratory and pre-clinical stages, where researchers identify potential antigens and test the vaccine candidate in laboratory settings and animal models. This early work establishes a foundational understanding of the vaccine’s mechanism and preliminary safety profile before human trials can commence. The transition to clinical development is heavily regulated, requiring approval from bodies like the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA).
Clinical development is divided into three distinct phases. Phase I trials involve a small number of volunteers (20 to 80 people) to primarily assess the vaccine’s basic safety and determine the optimal dosage level. These initial trials also provide the first look at the immune response generated in humans.
Phase II expands the volunteer group to hundreds of participants, focusing on determining the most effective vaccination schedule and further examining the immune response and short-term safety across a more diverse population. The final step before approval is the Phase III trial, the largest and most lengthy stage, involving thousands to tens of thousands of participants. Phase III confirms efficacy by comparing disease rates in the vaccinated group versus a placebo group, and detects less common adverse events. Only after successful completion of this extensive process is a vaccine considered for licensure and distribution.
Case Study: Rotavirus Vaccine and Safety Signals
The experience with the first rotavirus vaccine, RotaShield, serves as an illustration of the safety monitoring system. Rotavirus is a highly contagious virus that causes severe diarrheal illness, leading to tens of thousands of hospitalizations in children annually. RotaShield was licensed in 1998 and recommended for routine immunization based on pre-licensure trials that showed it to be effective and generally safe.
The issue arose shortly after the vaccine’s introduction into the general population. A passive surveillance system, the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS), began receiving reports of a rare bowel obstruction called intussusception in infants who had recently received the vaccine. Although intussusception is a condition that occurs naturally in infants, the reports suggested a higher-than-expected rate following vaccination.
Regulatory bodies and public health officials acted quickly on this “safety signal.” Scientific investigations, including a national case-control study, confirmed an association between the RotaShield vaccine and an increased risk of intussusception, particularly within the first week after the initial dose. The excess risk was estimated to be around one case per 10,000 vaccinated infants. Based on this confirmed risk, the vaccine was voluntarily withdrawn from the market in 1999.
This withdrawal led to a heightened awareness and change in strategy for subsequent rotavirus vaccine development. The two current rotavirus vaccines, RotaTeq and Rotarix, underwent larger pre-licensure trials (60,000 to 70,000 infants) specifically to quantify the risk of intussusception. While post-licensure monitoring has shown a small, transient increased risk with these newer vaccines, the overwhelming public health benefit of preventing severe rotavirus disease outweighs this risk.
Ongoing Safety Monitoring and Surveillance
Regulatory oversight does not end once a vaccine is approved; safety monitoring continues indefinitely through robust post-market surveillance systems. These systems are designed to detect adverse events that are too rare or that take too long to develop to be observed in Phase III trials. The U.S. government relies on a layered approach using both passive and active surveillance.
The Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS), co-managed by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and the FDA, is the nation’s primary passive surveillance system. VAERS accepts reports from anyone—healthcare providers, manufacturers, and the public—about any adverse health event that occurs after vaccination. Since reports are accepted regardless of whether the vaccine caused the event, VAERS functions as an “early warning system” to flag potential safety signals for further investigation.
To verify signals identified by VAERS and conduct real-time safety studies, the CDC utilizes the Vaccine Safety Datalink (VSD). The VSD is an active surveillance system that partners with large healthcare organizations, linking vaccination records with comprehensive medical data for millions of people annually.
This linked data allows researchers to compare health outcomes in vaccinated versus unvaccinated individuals to determine if a vaccine is truly associated with an adverse event. The VSD uses rapid cycle analysis for the timely assessment of safety concerns. If a safety signal is confirmed, public health officials can take regulatory action, such as issuing updated guidance or, in rare cases, withdrawing a product.

