Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD) is a neurodevelopmental condition characterized by differences in social interaction, communication, and patterns of behavior. Its origins are complex, arising from a mixture of genetic and environmental influences that affect early brain development. Research consistently shows that genetics play a significant role, with heritability estimates ranging as high as 80% to 90% in some studies. Understanding how these influences are passed down requires exploring the different ways both parents contribute to a child’s genetic liability.
The Complex Genetic Foundation of Autism
The genetic architecture of ASD is highly complex, involving hundreds of genes rather than a single “autism gene.” This classifies ASD as a polygenic condition, meaning it is influenced by the cumulative effect of many genetic variants across the genome. Collectively, these common variants create a background of genetic liability passed down through generations. Researchers estimate that this common polygenic variation accounts for at least 20% of the overall genetic risk for ASD. The cumulative effect of these variants determines an individual’s susceptibility, or genetic threshold, for developing the condition.
Inherited Risk Versus Spontaneous Mutations
Genetic changes contributing to autism risk fall into two main categories: inherited and spontaneous. Inherited variants are those passed down from a parent’s germline, meaning they were present in the parent’s egg or sperm cell and are part of the parent’s own genetic makeup. These inherited factors tend to be the primary drivers of risk in families where multiple members are affected by ASD.
Spontaneous, or de novo, mutations are genetic alterations that occur for the first time in the affected child and are not present in the DNA of either parent. These new mutations arise in the reproductive cells of a parent or during the very early stages of embryonic development. De novo mutations often have a larger, more impactful effect on neurodevelopment than common inherited variants.
This distinction helps explain why a highly genetic condition often appears in families with no prior history of ASD. In families with only one affected child (simplex families), de novo mutations are often the primary cause, accounting for a significant portion of the risk. Conversely, in families with multiple affected members (multiplex families), inherited risk variants are more likely to be the main factor.
Distinct Contributions of Maternal and Paternal Genetics
The contribution of each parent to a child’s ASD risk is often distinct, largely due to differences in how reproductive cells are produced and the effect of sex chromosomes.
The paternal contribution is strongly linked to advanced age. Unlike eggs, which are all present at birth, sperm cells undergo continuous division throughout a man’s life. This continuous division leads to an accumulation of de novo mutations in the sperm over time. Studies show that older fathers pass on an increased number of de novo point mutations to their children, and this mechanism is a significant factor in the association between advanced paternal age and increased ASD risk.
The maternal contribution often involves the concept of a “female protective effect,” which is a theory used to explain why ASD is diagnosed approximately four times more often in males than in females. This theory suggests that females require a higher burden of genetic risk factors to cross the threshold for an ASD diagnosis compared to males. A mother who carries a substantial load of inherited ASD risk variants may be protected from developing the condition herself, but she can still pass those variants on to her child.
The sex chromosomes also play a role, as the X chromosome carries many genes related to brain development. Females inherit two X chromosomes, while males inherit one X chromosome from their mother. If a mother carries an X-linked risk variant, a female child has a second, typically functional X chromosome that can potentially compensate for the variant. For a male child, the single X chromosome inherited from the mother carries the full effect of the risk variant, which can lead to a higher susceptibility.
Calculating Recurrence Risk in Families
The likelihood of a second child having ASD when one child is already affected, known as the recurrence risk, is significantly higher than the general population risk. For a couple with one child diagnosed with ASD, the average recurrence risk for a subsequent child is estimated to be between 10% and 20% in prospective studies, reflecting the high variability in the underlying genetic causes. The recurrence risk is highest in families where the first affected child is female, which is consistent with the female protective effect theory, and is also higher if there is more than one affected child in the family, or if the affected sibling has a co-occurring intellectual disability. Because the calculation involves a complex interplay of common inherited variants, rare inherited variants, and the possibility of de novo mutations, precise prediction for any single family is challenging. Genetic counseling is the appropriate next step for families seeking a more personalized assessment, as genetic specialists can analyze the specific family history and, if necessary, utilize genetic testing to refine the estimated probability.

