What Is a Mass Extinction and Are We Facing a Sixth?

A mass extinction is a period when at least 75% of all species on Earth disappear in a geologically short window of time, typically less than 2.8 million years. That might sound long by human standards, but Earth is 4.5 billion years old. In that context, losing three-quarters of all life in under 3 million years is startlingly fast. Five of these events have occurred in Earth’s history, each reshaping the planet’s biology so dramatically that recovery took millions of years.

How Mass Extinctions Differ From Normal Extinction

Species go extinct all the time. It’s a natural part of evolution. Scientists measure this steady background loss in units called extinctions per million species-years. For most animal groups, the normal rate falls between 0.1 and 1 extinction per million species per year. That works out to roughly one mammal species disappearing every million years, or one out of every thousand mammal species per century.

A mass extinction shatters that baseline. The rate of species loss spikes far above what evolution can replace, and it stays elevated long enough to wipe out a huge fraction of life across many different ecosystems simultaneously. The key distinction isn’t just the number of species lost but the speed and breadth of the collapse. Normal extinction picks off individual lineages one at a time. Mass extinction tears through entire ecosystems at once, on land and in the sea.

The Big Five Events

Paleontologists refer to the five largest die-offs as the “Big Five.” Each had different triggers, but all of them fundamentally reorganized life on Earth.

End-Ordovician (444 Million Years Ago)

The earliest well-documented mass extinction was driven by rapid glaciation on the supercontinent Gondwana, which covered much of the Southern Hemisphere. As massive ice sheets formed and then abruptly retreated, sea levels swung wildly. Marine species bore the brunt of the damage, since most complex life at that time lived in the oceans. This wasn’t a single sudden catastrophe but rather a series of pulses spread across a relatively short geological interval.

Late Devonian (Around 372 Million Years Ago)

Like the Ordovician event, the Late Devonian extinction unfolded in stages rather than as one sharp blow. Researchers have proposed several possible causes, including global cooling, volcanic eruptions, and an overload of nutrients washing into the seas that triggered algal blooms and starved the water of oxygen. No single cause has strong consensus, which makes this the most debated of the Big Five.

End-Permian (252 Million Years Ago)

Known as the “Great Dying,” this was the worst extinction event in Earth’s history. Between 80% and 96% of all marine species vanished. On land, two-thirds of four-limbed animal families disappeared, along with eight entire orders of insects. The dominant plant communities were wiped out and replaced. The trigger is now widely attributed to enormous volcanic eruptions across what is today Siberia. These eruptions released so much gas into the atmosphere that they destabilized the global climate and collapsed ecosystems worldwide.

End-Triassic (200 Million Years Ago)

As the supercontinent Pangaea began splitting apart and the Atlantic Ocean started to open, massive volcanic activity accompanied the rifting. This event was less severe than the Permian or Cretaceous extinctions, but it still cleared the ecological stage. The disappearance of many large reptile groups and other competitors gave dinosaurs the opening they needed to rise to dominance.

End-Cretaceous (66 Million Years Ago)

This is the extinction most people have heard of: the one that killed the dinosaurs. An asteroid roughly 10 kilometers wide struck what is now Mexico’s Yucatán Peninsula, forming the Chicxulub crater. The impact blasted dust and aerosols into the stratosphere, potentially reducing sunlight reaching the surface to just 20% of normal levels. This “impact winter” lasted months to decades, long enough to collapse food chains on land and in the ocean. Sea surface temperatures dropped and stayed cool for several decades even after most of the dust settled. Along with the non-bird dinosaurs, flying reptiles, ammonites, and many groups of marine plankton were wiped out.

What Makes Species Vulnerable

Not every species faces the same odds during a mass extinction. Research on mammals across deep time shows that generalists, species with flexible diets and wide geographic ranges, consistently survive at higher rates than specialists. Omnivores show the lowest extinction risk of any dietary group, supporting a long-standing idea scientists call “survival of the unspecialized.” Species that eat only one type of food or depend on a narrow habitat are far more exposed when that resource disappears.

Geographic range matters too. Species found across multiple regions have a built-in buffer: even if conditions become lethal in one area, populations elsewhere may survive. By contrast, species restricted to a small range can be eliminated by a single regional catastrophe. Tree-dwelling species also appear more vulnerable than ground-dwelling ones, likely because forest habitats are especially sensitive to climate disruption. In living mammals today, larger body size is associated with greater extinction risk, though across the full sweep of the fossil record the relationship is less clear-cut.

How Long Recovery Takes

The aftermath of a mass extinction is measured not in centuries but in millions of years. Research across multiple events points to a consistent pattern: it takes at least 10 million years for global biodiversity to fully bounce back. This appears to be a hard speed limit set by evolution itself. New species can only arise so fast, and damaged ecosystems need time to rebuild the complex webs of interaction that support high diversity.

After the End-Permian event, for example, recovery was agonizingly slow. Early ecosystems in the Triassic were simplified and dominated by a handful of opportunistic species. It took tens of millions of years before anything resembling the previous level of ecological complexity returned. The pattern repeated after the asteroid strike 66 million years ago: studies of marine microfossils show that overall diversity of some groups was nearly back to pre-extinction levels about 10 million years later, right on schedule with the predicted speed limit.

Are We in a Sixth Mass Extinction?

Current extinction rates for vertebrates are estimated to be up to 100 times higher than the natural background rate. Researchers at the National Autonomous University of Mexico and Stanford compared observed vertebrate extinctions over the past century against a background prediction of roughly nine species lost in that period. The actual number was one to two orders of magnitude higher. Extrapolating that pattern across all of nature suggests the modern world is losing species at a pace consistent with the early stages of a mass extinction.

The comparison comes with important caveats. The 75% species-loss threshold that defines a mass extinction has not been reached, and the timescale is still very short. We are decades into an accelerating crisis, not millions of years. Whether current trends continue to that threshold depends largely on what happens with habitat destruction, climate change, pollution, and overexploitation of wildlife in the coming centuries. What the data do show clearly is that the rate of loss is far outside the normal range, and that the gap between current rates and background rates is widening rather than closing.

Common Threads Across All Five Events

Despite their different triggers, the Big Five share a common structure. Each involved a rapid disruption to global climate, whether through volcanic gases, glaciation, or an asteroid blocking the sun. Temperature swings, either sharp cooling or intense warming, destabilized food webs from the bottom up. Photosynthetic organisms in the ocean or on land were hit first, and the collapse cascaded upward through the food chain.

Recent analysis of all five events divided each extinction into two phases and found that volcanic activity or extraterrestrial impacts drove significant heating in the rock record across multiple stages. The specifics varied, but the pattern held: something pushed Earth’s climate system past a tipping point, and the biological world couldn’t keep up. Species that depended on stable conditions or narrow resources were the first to go. Generalists and species with wide ranges hung on, eventually inheriting a simplified world and diversifying into the empty niches over millions of years.