Small intestine cancer (SIC) is a serious diagnosis with a highly variable long-term outlook. Compared to other digestive system malignancies, SIC is remarkably rare, making up only about three to five percent of all gastrointestinal cancers. The small intestine is the longest segment of the digestive tract, yet cancer rarely develops there. The prognosis depends on a complex array of factors, including the tumor’s biological characteristics, the stage of the disease at diagnosis, and the overall health of the patient.
The Impact of Cancer Type on Prognosis
The prognosis for small intestine cancer is heavily influenced by the specific type of cell from which the tumor originates, leading to vastly different clinical outcomes. The four primary types of small intestine cancer include adenocarcinoma, neuroendocrine tumors (NETs), lymphoma, and sarcoma.
Adenocarcinoma is the most aggressive type and is the most common form found in the duodenum. These tumors are often diagnosed at a later stage, resulting in a less favorable prognosis, with five-year relative survival rates historically reported at under 30% for all stages combined. Management often mirrors that of colorectal cancer due to shared cellular characteristics.
Neuroendocrine Tumors (NETs), also known as carcinoid tumors, generally have the most favorable prognosis. These tumors arise from hormone-producing cells and are typically slow-growing, frequently developing in the ileum. The five-year relative survival for NETs is significantly higher, sometimes exceeding 80% across all stages, though this depends heavily on the tumor grade and its ability to secrete hormones.
Small intestine lymphoma is often more responsive to systemic treatments like chemotherapy compared to adenocarcinoma. The prognosis for lymphoma is highly variable, with follicular B-cell lymphomas having a favorable outlook, while T-cell lymphoma may have a poorer survival rate. Sarcoma, specifically Gastrointestinal Stromal Tumors (GISTs), originates in the connective tissues of the small intestine wall. GIST prognosis is strongly tied to tumor size and whether it can be completely removed surgically, with five-year survival rates around 58% to 70%.
Survival Rates Based on Stage and Location
The extent to which the cancer has spread, or its stage, is the single most important factor determining the long-term outlook. Cancer staging for the small intestine, based on the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program, categorizes the disease into three main groups based on the cancer’s physical spread.
For localized disease, where the cancer is confined entirely to the wall of the small intestine, the five-year relative survival rate is approximately 85.6%. When the cancer has spread regionally, meaning it has invaded nearby structures or the adjacent lymph nodes, the five-year survival estimate decreases to about 79.6%. The prognosis is significantly worse once the disease has spread to distant sites, such as the liver or lungs, with the five-year survival rate dropping to 46.6%.
The specific location within the small intestine can subtly impact the outcome and treatment approach. Adenocarcinomas found in the duodenum, the segment closest to the stomach, often have a less favorable prognosis compared to those found in the jejunum or ileum.
Duodenal tumors are frequently near the ampulla of Vater, which connects to the pancreas and bile duct, complicating surgical resection and sometimes leading to treatment that is more akin to pancreatic cancer. Conversely, NETs are more commonly found in the ileum, and while their prognosis is generally better, their location can influence the complexity of surgery. The lower survival associated with duodenal cancer may be related to the aggressive biology of adenocarcinoma, which is the most common type in that area.
Non-Tumor Factors Affecting Long-Term Outlook
Beyond the cancer’s intrinsic biology and stage, several factors independent of the tumor itself significantly influence an individual’s long-term outlook and prognosis. The patient’s general physical condition, often measured by their performance status, and the presence of other health issues, known as comorbidities, play a substantial role. Patients in better overall health generally tolerate aggressive treatments better, which can lead to improved survival rates.
One of the most significant factors is the success of the initial surgical treatment, specifically achieving clear surgical margins, known as an R0 resection. An R0 resection means that the surgeon removed the entire visible tumor along with a buffer of healthy tissue, and no cancer cells are detected at the edge of the removed specimen. When the cancer can be completely removed, the prognosis is substantially more favorable than when residual disease remains.
The response to systemic treatments, such as chemotherapy or targeted therapy, is also a powerful prognostic indicator, particularly for advanced or non-resectable disease. For example, the use of targeted therapy like imatinib for GISTs has drastically improved survival for those patients.
Surgical Technique and Follow-up
Furthermore, the extent of lymph node dissection during surgery, with the removal and examination of eight or more lymph nodes, is associated with a lower risk of recurrence and a better long-term outcome. Regular post-treatment surveillance is also a key component of the long-term outlook, as it allows for the early detection and management of any potential recurrence.

