What Percentage of People Over 50 Get Shingles?

Shingles, or herpes zoster, is a common viral infection that causes a painful rash and is caused by the same virus responsible for chickenpox. While this condition can affect individuals of any age, it presents a significantly increased risk and burden for older adults. The potential for severe, long-lasting complications makes shingles a serious public health concern, particularly for the population aged 50 and above. Understanding the specific risk factors and the underlying biology of this infection is the first step toward effective prevention.

Prevalence and Age-Related Risk Factors

Approximately one in three people in the United States will develop shingles at some point during their lifetime. The majority of these cases occur in the older population, with about 50% of new shingles diagnoses involving individuals aged 60 and older. The risk begins to climb noticeably around age 50, which is why this demographic is a primary focus for prevention efforts.

The dramatic increase in risk is directly linked to the natural weakening of the immune system over time, a process known as immune senescence. A robust immune system, specifically cell-mediated immunity, is responsible for keeping the varicella-zoster virus (VZV) suppressed and dormant inside the body. As this immune surveillance declines, the virus is more likely to reactivate.

This age-related decline means the body is less able to contain the dormant VZV, allowing it to multiply and cause the painful outbreak characteristic of shingles. Factors like chronic illness or medical treatments that suppress the immune system can further accelerate this process. Advancing age is the single greatest non-vaccine-preventable risk factor.

How Varicella-Zoster Virus Reactivates

The varicella-zoster virus establishes a lifelong presence in the body after the initial childhood infection of chickenpox. It retreats and lies dormant in the sensory nerve ganglia, which are clusters of nerve tissue near the brain and spinal cord. In this latent state, the virus remains inactive, held in check by the immune system for decades.

Reactivation occurs when T-cell-mediated immunity wanes, allowing the virus to begin replicating within the nerve cell bodies. The reactivated virus then travels along the nerve fibers toward the skin. This movement causes a painful inflammation of the nerve structure itself before the virus reaches the surface.

Once the virus arrives at the skin, it produces the localized, blistering rash that characterizes shingles, typically appearing in a band-like pattern on one side of the body. The virus follows the path of the specific nerve (dermatome) where it was dormant, accounting for the unilateral and segmented nature of the outbreak. Patients often experience pain, itching, or tingling in the affected area before the rash emerges.

Understanding Postherpetic Neuralgia and Other Severe Outcomes

The most significant consequence of a shingles infection is postherpetic neuralgia (PHN), which is chronic nerve pain that persists after the rash has healed. PHN is the most common long-term complication, affecting between 10% and 18% of patients. This neuropathic pain is severe, often described as burning, stabbing, or electric-like, and can last for months or even years.

The risk of PHN increases dramatically with age, becoming a much greater concern for the 50-and-older population. Up to 25% of individuals over the age of 60 who get shingles may go on to develop PHN. This persistent pain is due to the damage inflicted on the nerve fibers during the acute viral replication phase.

While PHN is the most frequent severe outcome, shingles can lead to other serious complications depending on which nerve is affected. If the virus reactivates in the facial nerves, it can cause Herpes Zoster Ophthalmicus, leading to vision loss, scarring, and chronic eye inflammation. Rarer outcomes include motor weakness, hearing loss, or neurological complications such as meningitis or encephalitis.

Vaccination Recommendations for Adults Over 50

Given the high risk of shingles and its complications in older individuals, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) strongly recommends vaccination for all healthy adults aged 50 and older. The preferred vaccine, a recombinant zoster vaccine (RZV), is administered as a two-dose series to provide robust and long-lasting protection. These two doses are typically given two to six months apart.

Clinical trials have demonstrated high efficacy rates for the recombinant vaccine in this age group. It is over 97% effective in preventing shingles in adults aged 50 and older. Furthermore, the vaccine provides a high level of protection against the most debilitating complication, postherpetic neuralgia, with an efficacy rate greater than 90%.

The recommendation applies even to those who have previously experienced a shingles outbreak, as the vaccine can help prevent future recurrences. Individuals who received the older, live-attenuated zoster vaccine (Zostavax) should also receive the two-dose recombinant series after consulting with a healthcare provider. Completing the full two-dose schedule is important to achieve the highest level of protection.