Smoldering Multiple Myeloma (SMM) is a condition characterized by an abnormal accumulation of plasma cells in the bone marrow and the presence of a monoclonal protein in the blood or urine, but without any symptoms of organ damage. This disorder is considered a precursor state, bridging the gap between Monoclonal Gammopathy of Undetermined Significance (MGUS) and active Multiple Myeloma (MM). SMM exists on a spectrum of risk based on the likelihood of progressing to the symptomatic, cancerous stage. For individuals diagnosed with high-risk SMM, the elevated chance of transformation to active MM necessitates a shift from simple observation to proactive therapeutic intervention.
Criteria for High-Risk Classification
Distinguishing high-risk SMM from the lower-risk forms is fundamental, as it dictates the urgency of monitoring and treatment discussions. Clinicians use specific measurable biomarkers to stratify this risk, most notably following the International Myeloma Working Group (IMWG) criteria. The 2/20/20 model identifies a patient as high-risk if they meet two or more of three specific thresholds.
The first biomarker is the serum M-protein concentration, which is the quantity of abnormal protein in the blood. A level greater than 2 grams per deciliter is considered a significant factor, reflecting the overall burden of the disease.
The second factor is the percentage of clonal plasma cells found in the bone marrow during a biopsy. An infiltration greater than 20% indicates a higher potential for progression and suggests a more advanced stage of the underlying cellular process.
The third component is an abnormality in the serum free light chain (FLC) ratio, where the ratio of involved to uninvolved light chains exceeds 20. A highly skewed ratio suggests a more aggressive clone of plasma cells. Patients who meet two or more of these three criteria are categorized as high-risk SMM.
Imaging techniques also play a role in defining high-risk SMM by ensuring the absence of features that would classify the disease as active myeloma. Advanced imaging, such as whole-body Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) or Positron Emission Tomography (PET) scans, search for small areas of bone destruction, known as focal lesions. If a patient has multiple focal lesions, the condition is reclassified as active multiple myeloma, triggering immediate treatment.
Understanding the Urgency of Progression
The primary difference between low-risk and high-risk SMM is the dramatically accelerated timeline for potential disease progression. For patients with low-risk SMM, the likelihood of progressing to active multiple myeloma remains relatively minor, often less than 10% over a five-year period. This low-risk group can often be safely managed with a strategy of careful, active surveillance.
In contrast, high-risk SMM carries a much higher probability of transformation, with a progression risk of approximately 50% within the first two years of diagnosis. This rapid rate necessitates early intervention rather than simple observation. The goal of treating high-risk SMM is to prevent the development of myeloma-defining events.
Progression to active multiple myeloma is defined by the appearance of symptoms or signs of end-organ damage, summarized by the acronym CRAB. CRAB includes C for elevated calcium levels, R for renal failure, A for anemia, and B for bone lesions. Intervening before these events occur is paramount because active myeloma treatment is often continuous, and the organ damage caused by progression can be irreversible. The high-risk designation provides a window of opportunity to act preemptively.
Active Intervention Approaches
The recognition of high-risk SMM as a serious risk has led to a paradigm shift away from the traditional “watch and wait” approach toward proactive therapeutic intervention. The rationale for early treatment is to delay or completely prevent the onset of active multiple myeloma, thereby sparing the patient from the continuous, intensive therapy required once the disease becomes symptomatic. This approach seeks to reduce the clonal plasma cell burden when the disease is less aggressive and before irreversible damage occurs.
Therapies used in this pre-emptive setting often mirror those used for active myeloma, utilizing drug classes highly effective against plasma cells. Immunomodulatory drugs (IMiDs), such as lenalidomide, are frequently employed, sometimes combined with corticosteroids like dexamethasone. These agents modulate the immune system and directly affect the myeloma cells’ environment.
Another class of agents, the proteasome inhibitors (PIs), including carfilzomib, are also utilized in various combinations for high-risk SMM. These drugs interfere with the cells’ ability to manage proteins, leading to the death of the abnormal plasma cells. The combination of IMiDs and PIs can achieve deep responses, significantly reducing the number of cancer-forming cells.
Monoclonal antibodies, such as daratumumab, which targets the CD38 protein on the surface of myeloma cells, represent a major advancement. Results from recent Phase 3 clinical trials, such as the AQUILA study, demonstrated that daratumumab monotherapy significantly reduced the risk of progression to active multiple myeloma or death by over 50% compared to active monitoring. This validated the use of early, finite-duration treatment to manage high-risk SMM. Ongoing clinical trials, including studies like QUIREDEX and ASCENT, continue to explore the most effective drug combinations to achieve long-term disease control before the onset of symptomatic disease.

